Model Predictions
| Model | Navy Midshipmen | Saint Joseph's Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.3 | ✓ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Joseph's Hawks +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aidan Kehoe * | 32 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Jordan Pennick * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Donovan Draper * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | +4.9 |
| Austin Benigni * | 26 | 9-17 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 11 | +1.6 |
| Lysander Rehnstrom * | 17 | 2-10 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Jinwoo Kim | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +10.8 |
| Mike Woods | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.4 |
| Cam Cole | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.1 |
| Carnegie Johnson | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Mitch Fischer | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.1 |
| Sam Krist | 8 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -1.0 |
Saint Joseph's Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Reynolds II * | 37 | 9-17 | 6-13 | 5-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 20 | +2.6 |
| Xzayvier Brown * | 34 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 11-12 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 20 | +3.9 |
| Rasheer Fleming * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8.0 |
| Derek Simpson * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2.6 |
| Justice Ajogbor * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3.2 |
| Anthony Finkley | 21 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | +8.0 |
| Dasear Haskins | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -10.6 |
| Shawn Simmons II | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +6.3 |
| Steven Solano | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -0.4 |
* = starter