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2024-11-04

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles La Salle Explorers Spread Result
Elo 76.0% 24.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.0% 58.0% - โœ“
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 56.0% 44.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 58.7% 41.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“

Actual: La Salle Explorers +13 (65-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colin Smalls * 36 3-10 1-5 3-4 3 3 0 0 0 10 6 -11.5
Geoff Sprouse * 33 3-11 3-10 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 9 2 -13.2
Matt Mayock * 32 2-9 1-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 5 0 -3.8
Greg Jones * 28 3-7 1-4 0-1 2 3 0 1 3 7 3 -3.1
Matt Rogers * 18 3-7 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 1 3 8 4 -0.3
Eric Michaels 20 4-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 1 1 1 8 9 -6.4
Lincoln Ball 19 1-2 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 0 0 2 9 -1.7
Wyatt Nausadis 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 -3.4
Julen Iturbe 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -7.8

La Salle Explorers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey McKeithan * 37 6-14 2-5 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 16 7 +11.3
Jahlil White * 35 5-8 1-1 4-4 6 1 2 0 1 15 15 +11.0
Daeshon Shepherd * 26 4-5 0-1 2-4 4 0 0 1 0 10 10 +10.8
Andres Marrero * 21 1-7 1-3 3-3 1 1 0 1 0 6 2 +1.3
Demetrius Lilley * 20 1-7 0-3 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 2 0 -7.4
Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi 20 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 7 8 +1.4
Deuce Jones 18 2-8 0-1 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 6 3 +8.6
Mac Etienne 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 8 2 0 1 0 3 12 +14.6
Ryan Zan 6 0-0 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 +1.8

* = starter