Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars +8 (73-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Lewis | 38 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | -7.7 |
| Johnathan Lawson | 37 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -7.8 |
| Jordan Jefferson | 34 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | -8.7 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 26 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7.7 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -5.6 |
| Christian Hughes | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +1.8 |
| Ante Beljan | 15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.4 |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ring Malith | 34 | 6-9 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 24 | +9.0 |
| Ray'Sean Taylor | 34 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 11 | +5.0 |
| Desmond Polk | 30 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 1 | +5.6 |
| Brian Taylor | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +10.0 |
| Myles Thompson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | +3.8 |
| Jordan Pickett | 16 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4.6 |
| Arnas Sakenis | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Declan Dillon | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Kyle Thomas | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.1 |
| Eddiean Tirado | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter