Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +9 (64-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brelsford | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +5.7 |
| Jerone Morton | 27 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Steven Clay | 27 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 25 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -5 | -0.3 |
| Dieonte Miles | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -1.3 |
| Khouri Carvey | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +0.6 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 17 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -6.4 |
| George Marshall | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -6.5 |
| Trent Scott | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.7 |
| Jalen Breazeale | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.9 |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justus Jackson | 34 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 31 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -6.9 |
| Knute Wood | 29 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +6.2 |
| Carlous Williams | 27 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Travis Harper II | 21 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +2.5 |
| Josh Ogundele | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | -8.6 |
| Ahmir Langlais | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | +9.5 |
| JC Brooks | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -1.1 |
* = starter