Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.9% | 37.1% | -2.9 | ✗ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers +11 (71-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 39 | 4-15 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -5.3 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 37 | 5-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 36 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -4.5 |
| Ante Beljan | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -5.6 |
| Jordan Jefferson | 31 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | +1.8 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -2.4 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Kristiyan Popov | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -6.1 |
| Christian Hughes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Creed Williamson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nikola Milosevic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Artese Stapleton | 38 | 8-11 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 21 | +7.6 |
| Kooper Jacobi | 37 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Nakyel Shelton | 33 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 9-13 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 19 | +2.6 |
| Obadiah Curtis | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | -1.7 |
| R. Bolis | 30 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +5.2 |
| Corey Sawyer Jr. | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +10.6 |
| Lazar Grbovic | 10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Malik Olafioye | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Terry McMorris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.8 |
* = starter