Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.7% | 88.3% | +11.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Myers | 37 | 6-15 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 7 | -19.5 |
| Trey Deveaux | 37 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | -18.5 |
| Sean Smith | 33 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Julius Rollins | 29 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -15.7 |
| Rodrick Payne | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -22.2 |
| Marko Maletic | 19 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | -19.3 |
| Massal Diouf | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | +1.7 |
| Caleb Thompson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Kayden Carter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kiyron Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Jefferson | 39 | 10-16 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 14 | +19.9 |
| Johnathan Lawson | 36 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 13 | +18.9 |
| Ante Beljan | 34 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | +20.4 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 33 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +20.4 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 30 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | +16.8 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +7.3 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kristiyan Popov | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Christian Hughes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter