Model Predictions
| Model | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.9% | 30.1% | -4.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -18 (62-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor | 35 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +17.9 |
| Ray'Sean Taylor | 35 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 12-12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 28 | +18.6 |
| Desmond Polk | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +19.5 |
| Ring Malith | 28 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +8.9 |
| Kyle Thomas | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +10.1 |
| Myles Thompson | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +10.4 |
| Arnas Sakenis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.8 |
| Jordan Pickett | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Declan Dillon | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| Cham Okey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Eddiean Tirado | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brelsford | 38 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -15.2 |
| Jerone Morton | 34 | 10-15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | -7.9 |
| Dieonte Miles | 27 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | -15.0 |
| George Marshall | 26 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -11.0 |
| Kenny White Jr. | 26 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -15.0 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 17 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | +1.6 |
| Steven Clay | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Trent Scott | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.8 |
| Jaden Webb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter