Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | UT Martin Skyhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | +0.4 | ✗ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -11 (75-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justus Jackson | 38 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +12.9 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 37 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 14 | +12.7 |
| Knute Wood | 31 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +14.1 |
| Carlous Williams | 26 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | -5.2 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 23 | +18.0 |
| Travis Harper II | 15 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -0.5 |
| JC Brooks | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +10.2 |
| Josh Ogundele | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -0.2 |
| Ahmir Langlais | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | +0.7 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +1.8 |
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard | 30 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 22 | -9.7 |
| Carlos Cortijo | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Andrija BukumiroviÄ | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | -0.3 |
| Josué Grullon | 22 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | -15.0 |
| Vladimer Salaridze | 20 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | -9.8 |
| AJ Hopkins | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +5.9 |
| Filip RadakoviÄ | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -11.1 |
| Afan Trnka | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -17.5 |
| M. Žužić | 13 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -11.4 |
| Lamine Niang | 9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | +9.5 |
| Stefano Faloppa | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -9.5 |
* = starter