Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.1% | 44.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks +5 (72-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny White Jr. | 38 | 5-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Jerone Morton | 30 | 0-8 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -3 | -4.6 |
| Tyler Brelsford | 29 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -8.0 |
| Steven Clay | 27 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -8.6 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 21 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -10.8 |
| Khouri Carvey | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | +7.1 |
| George Marshall | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Trent Scott | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 9 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Jaden Webb | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +5.0 |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Deveaux | 37 | 6-10 | 4-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 18 | +8.6 |
| Ryan Myers | 34 | 9-17 | 4-6 | 6-8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 13 | +2.6 |
| Julius Rollins | 34 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Marko Maletic | 31 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 6-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +7.7 |
| Sean Smith | 25 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Rodrick Payne | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -9.3 |
| Massal Diouf | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| Kiyron Powell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
| Kayden Carter | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
* = starter