Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers -17 (49-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Harper II | 32 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | +21.2 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 32 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | +32.3 |
| Justus Jackson | 30 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +13.9 |
| Carlous Williams | 27 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | +6.4 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +18.5 |
| Knute Wood | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| Josh Ogundele | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +20.5 |
| Ahmir Langlais | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| JC Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Blake Fleming | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Maddux Bodenhamer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Louis Daoust | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nakyel Shelton | 35 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -16.2 |
| Zion Fruster | 33 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | -10.1 |
| Artese Stapleton | 33 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -1 | -9.2 |
| Kooper Jacobi | 29 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| R. Bolis | 20 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Obadiah Curtis | 18 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | -20.6 |
| Sekou Kalle | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -12.7 |
| Malik Olafioye | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -12.0 |
| Corey Sawyer Jr. | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.9 |
| Terry McMorris | 3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -1.0 |
| Kam O'Connor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Jackson Connor | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Carson Prost | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
* = starter