Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✗ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -12 (45-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedrick Washington | 35 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Rob Martin | 34 | 5-16 | 1-5 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | +5.6 |
| Brendan Terry | 33 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 20 | +9.5 |
| BJ Ward | 31 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +9.0 |
| Troy Cole Jr. | 23 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Braxton Stacker | 23 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +12.5 |
| TJ Biel | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| David Idada | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -8.9 |
| Elliot Lowndes | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 39 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | -7.3 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 35 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -7.2 |
| Ante Beljan | 34 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -5.6 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 32 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -10.4 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 31 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -3 | -8.2 |
| Jordan Jefferson | 25 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | +3.8 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter