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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Western Illinois Leathernecks UT Martin Skyhawks Spread Result
Elo 51.8% 48.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 29.7% 70.3% - ✓
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.4% 63.6% - ✓
Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 27.0% 73.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 27.2% 72.8% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% - ✓

Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trey Deveaux 34 4-8 1-3 8-9 7 3 0 0 3 17 16 +4.5
Marko Maletic 32 9-18 8-14 1-3 3 0 0 0 2 27 10 -3.7
Sean Smith 28 1-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 -1 -
Ryan Myers 27 4-10 2-7 2-3 1 2 1 0 3 12 3 -11.5
Julius Rollins 25 0-5 0-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 0 0 -8.4
Caleb Thompson 21 0-1 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 1 2 2 10 -1.2
T. Sant 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 4 4 2 2 2 12 -
Massal Diouf 14 2-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 0 2 5 7 -7.4
Kiyron Powell 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2.9

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tarence Guinyard 29 4-12 0-4 12-15 6 3 1 0 4 20 14 +5.2
Filip Radaković 27 3-4 0-0 5-6 1 3 1 0 2 11 10 +3.8
AJ Hopkins 25 1-6 1-5 2-2 6 0 1 0 0 5 6 +9.9
Vladimer Salaridze 24 7-12 2-4 2-4 6 3 2 0 3 18 14 +11.3
Carlos Cortijo 23 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +2.0
Afan Trnka 18 1-5 1-5 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 3 -1 +3.2
Lamine Niang 16 3-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 0 8 10 -2.5
M. Žužić 14 2-4 1-3 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 6 3 +1.8
Andrija Bukumirović 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 3 3 +4.9
Josué Grullon 11 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 5 7 +2.8

* = starter