Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.8 | ✓ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -14 (62-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 37 | 9-17 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 13 | +10.5 |
| Ante Beljan | 36 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +12.1 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 16 | +17.3 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 30 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +11.9 |
| Jordan Jefferson | 28 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +6.8 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 27 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | +16.3 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.6 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny White Jr. | 35 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Tyler Brelsford | 33 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 6 | -9.7 |
| Jerone Morton | 31 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -14.4 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -12.7 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -0.8 |
| Khouri Carvey | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | -3.2 |
| Steven Clay | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -14.1 |
| George Marshall | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -10.3 |
| Jalen Breazeale | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Trent Scott | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
* = starter