Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.0% | 86.0% | +10.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Deveaux | 39 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 7-9 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 16 | -17.6 |
| Julius Rollins | 36 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | -9.7 |
| Marko Maletic | 33 | 6-12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 11 | -11.7 |
| Sean Smith | 31 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Myers | 24 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -26.0 |
| T. Sant | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rodrick Payne | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Massal Diouf | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -3.0 |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah | 34 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 15 | +14.8 |
| Travis Harper II | 32 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +27.9 |
| Brandon Weston | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +9.6 |
| Carlous Williams | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +12.0 |
| Justus Jackson | 20 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | -6.9 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 17 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +6.8 |
| Josh Ogundele | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Ahmir Langlais | 13 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +9.9 |
| Knute Wood | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.8 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +1.9 |
* = starter