Model Predictions
| Model | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.6% | 26.4% | -5.7 | ✓ (23.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles -29 (51-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BJ Ward | 37 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | +22.8 |
| Rob Martin | 32 | 11-19 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 15 | +25.3 |
| Tedrick Washington | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Brendan Terry | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | +19.4 |
| Troy Cole Jr. | 21 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| TJ Biel | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +15.5 |
| Braxton Stacker | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -0.2 |
| David Idada | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Damarion Walkup | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Elliot Lowndes | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Saxton Hoepker | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.1 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Brelsford | 30 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | -19.6 |
| Dieonte Miles | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -17.5 |
| Kenny White Jr. | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -11.6 |
| Steven Clay | 23 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -17.4 |
| Jerone Morton | 22 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -9.6 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | -13.5 |
| George Marshall | 18 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -1.9 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10.7 |
| Jalen Breazeale | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.8 |
| Trent Scott | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -8.9 |
| Khouri Carvey | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +3.1 |
* = starter