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2025-02-01

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 31.5% 68.5% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - ✓
Margin 24.1% 75.9% +6.3 ✓ (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% - ✓
Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 26.2% 73.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 34.4% 65.6% - ✓

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +18 (75-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Afan Trnka 37 3-7 3-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 5 9 7 -14.0
Tarence Guinyard 31 3-9 1-5 4-4 2 3 1 0 5 11 3 -13.8
Vladimer Salaridze 29 3-8 1-3 2-3 6 2 3 0 2 9 10 -4.1
Filip Radaković 28 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 0 1 -10.2
Josué Grullon 27 5-17 2-7 2-2 9 2 2 0 1 14 9 -11.6
M. Žužić 22 3-8 3-6 0-2 5 0 1 0 2 9 5 -2.2
Carlos Cortijo 11 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 3 -11.8
Stefano Faloppa 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.6
AJ Hopkins 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.7
Andrija Bukumirović 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -8.6
Lamine Niang 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.3
Lucas Williams 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Lewis 40 3-12 0-5 0-0 3 5 2 0 5 6 -1 +17.1
Tuongthach Gatkek 35 9-10 0-0 2-2 12 5 3 1 1 20 30 +21.7
Mwani Wilkinson 34 6-12 4-9 0-0 7 4 3 1 1 16 18 +14.5
Johnathan Lawson 33 4-11 4-9 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 14 9 +17.4
Ante Beljan 30 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 2 3 8 7 +7.4
Jordan Jefferson 24 4-10 3-6 0-1 4 1 4 1 0 11 11 +12.2
Caleb Pennyfeather 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 -6.3
Christian Hughes 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter