Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.0% | 67.0% | +3.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Weston | 33 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -0.3 |
| Justus Jackson | 29 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 29 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Carlous Williams | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Travis Harper II | 22 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -8.2 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +8.6 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 17 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | -2.3 |
| Josh Ogundele | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Knute Wood | 7 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | +1.1 |
| Ahmir Langlais | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 36 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 7-7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | -3.6 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 34 | 9-19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | -0.0 |
| Ante Beljan | 32 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +7.8 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 29 | 3-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -1.4 |
| Jordan Jefferson | 21 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -0.1 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Creed Williamson | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5.3 |
* = starter