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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles SIU Edwardsville Cougars Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 28.7% 71.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“

Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars +11 (65-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
George Marshall 36 5-14 1-6 7-7 8 1 2 0 1 18 14 -6.5
Tyler Brelsford 35 4-5 2-3 8-10 2 0 0 0 1 18 14 -8.9
Kenny White Jr. 35 1-8 0-1 1-4 6 3 1 1 0 3 6 -3.5
Anouar Mellouk 29 2-4 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 3 4 2 -14.7
Jerone Morton 20 2-9 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -4 -8.7
Jalen Breazeale 20 2-6 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 0 +2.2
Kade Ruegsegger 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 +5.2
Dieonte Miles 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -4.8
Khouri Carvey 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 4 +6.9

SIU Edwardsville Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ring Malith 37 4-6 1-3 5-6 5 1 2 2 1 14 17 +4.5
Ray'Sean Taylor 36 4-14 2-9 12-13 3 0 1 0 4 22 8 +5.6
Brian Taylor 29 3-12 0-3 6-8 5 3 0 0 1 12 7 +15.3
Desmond Polk 26 3-5 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 6 7 +14.2
Myles Thompson 23 1-3 0-0 2-8 8 1 0 0 1 4 9 +10.6
Kyle Thomas 17 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 1 5 3 -1.1
Declan Dillon 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -10.0
Jordan Pickett 16 0-2 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -6.0

* = starter