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2025-01-25

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Lindenwood Lions Spread Result
Elo 36.3% 63.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 49.6% 50.4% - โœ—
Margin 65.5% 34.5% -3.5 โœ“ (28.5 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.2% 23.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.0% 43.0% - โœ“

Actual: Lindenwood Lions -32 (46-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnathan Lawson 35 4-6 4-6 2-2 3 8 0 2 3 14 18 +23.8
Mwani Wilkinson 34 7-15 3-7 2-2 13 1 1 3 0 19 22 +25.0
Isaiah Lewis 30 2-9 0-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 4 -2 +13.1
Tuongthach Gatkek 28 6-11 0-0 1-2 14 1 1 5 1 13 22 +29.7
Jordan Jefferson 20 2-8 2-5 6-6 2 1 1 0 0 12 8 +16.3
Ante Beljan 19 5-5 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 1 3 12 9 -0.7
Caleb Pennyfeather 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 0 0 -0.2
Creed Williamson 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 2 +6.6
Christian Hughes 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
Kristiyan Popov 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Lindenwood Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jadis Jones 38 4-10 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 2 8 4 -23.7
Reggie Bass 31 0-4 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 3 2 0 -16.9
Markeith Browning II 30 3-9 0-3 2-4 4 5 0 0 1 8 7 -19.7
Anias Futrell 23 1-11 0-6 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 3 -4 -8.2
Clayton Jackson 22 3-9 3-7 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 9 3 -18.0
Aly Tounkara 19 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 2 0 1 2 5 +0.8
Jordan Wildy 18 4-5 1-1 1-3 3 0 0 0 0 10 8 -21.1
Nathan Johnson Jr. 14 0-8 0-4 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -4 -5.6
Jaylon McDaniel 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Colin Ruffin 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter