Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.5% | 26.5% | -5.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -11 (51-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 40 | 9-19 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 11 | +10.7 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 36 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +7.0 |
| Ante Beljan | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +12.4 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | +9.6 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 30 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5.2 |
| Jordan Jefferson | 22 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Creed Williamson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.1 |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Smith | 38 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Marko Maletic | 35 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | -12.5 |
| Ryan Myers | 31 | 1-14 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5 | -2.6 |
| Massal Diouf | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Trey Deveaux | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5.0 |
| Kayden Carter | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -0.2 |
| Julius Rollins | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -8.5 |
| T. Sant | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Rodrick Payne | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.8 |
* = starter