🐻⬇️🏀

@
2025-01-21

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 16.6% 83.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Margin 28.1% 71.9% +5.2 ✓ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Efficiency 39.0% 61.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 29.0% 71.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Points Off/Def 36.5% 63.5% - ✓

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +1 (81-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Vladimer Salaridze 35 6-13 1-3 5-7 14 0 3 0 3 18 19 +9.0
Carlos Cortijo 33 1-4 0-2 3-5 0 6 3 0 4 5 6 +12.3
Josué Grullon 30 5-14 0-8 1-1 3 1 3 1 1 11 4 -3.8
Afan Trnka 27 4-7 1-3 6-6 0 2 2 0 5 15 7 -5.6
M. Žužić 26 4-6 4-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 12 11 +6.9
Tarence Guinyard 24 2-7 1-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 3 5 4 -6.0
Andrija Bukumirović 21 3-7 0-3 2-4 6 0 0 1 0 8 8 -5.7
Filip Radaković 19 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -2 +0.1
Stefano Faloppa 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 +1.1
Lamine Niang 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -5.9

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Weston 36 6-11 3-5 5-5 5 3 4 0 2 20 19 -1.7
Carlous Williams 32 2-3 0-1 4-4 5 1 1 1 5 8 8 +0.7
Justus Jackson 31 0-6 0-4 2-2 2 4 2 0 2 2 2 -1.6
Travis Harper II 30 3-13 3-8 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 9 3 +6.2
Aaron Nkrumah 26 2-5 1-4 4-9 5 1 1 1 7 9 5 -5.8
Knute Wood 26 4-8 4-8 3-4 2 2 3 0 0 15 14 +3.6
Ronald Jessamy 21 3-3 0-0 5-7 5 0 0 2 5 11 10 -4.6
Antoine Lorick III 13 3-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 3 0 1 7 10 +6.5
Josh Ogundele 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -6.0

* = starter