Model Predictions
| Model | Lindenwood Lions | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | +2.5 | ✓ (14.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lindenwood Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadis Jones | 39 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -21.5 |
| Anias Futrell | 29 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -15.4 |
| Aly Tounkara | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -14.9 |
| Nathan Johnson Jr. | 27 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -12.0 |
| Reggie Bass | 26 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | -13.1 |
| Markeith Browning II | 25 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Clayton Jackson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -10.1 |
| Jalen Bouknight | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +9.0 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny White Jr. | 30 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +19.4 |
| Jerone Morton | 30 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +17.2 |
| Tyler Brelsford | 29 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +9.7 |
| George Marshall | 25 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 5 | +18.2 |
| Dieonte Miles | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | +5.4 |
| Steven Clay | 17 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +11.2 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +6.1 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -7.0 |
| Jalen Breazeale | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +0.1 |
| Khouri Carvey | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +5.9 |
* = starter