Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.4% | 69.6% | +4.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +4 (51-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodrick Payne | 31 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -3.0 |
| Ryan Myers | 31 | 2-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -7 | -8.0 |
| Sean Smith | 30 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Marko Maletic | 30 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Kayden Carter | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | +3.0 |
| Julius Rollins | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.0 |
| Trey Deveaux | 12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | -2.0 |
| T. Sant | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Thompson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +6.0 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerone Morton | 38 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 9 | +9.0 |
| Kenny White Jr. | 31 | 5-15 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 31 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +8.1 |
| Steven Clay | 25 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| George Marshall | 23 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +14.9 |
| Tyler Brelsford | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.1 |
| Dieonte Miles | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3.1 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +3.0 |
| Jalen Breazeale | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter