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2025-01-14

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Spread Result
Elo 17.1% 82.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 45.1% 54.9% - โœ—
Margin 30.2% 69.8% +4.6 โœ— (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 36.4% 63.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.8% 61.2% - โœ—

Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnathan Lawson 39 8-13 5-7 7-8 7 2 0 0 4 28 20 +13.8
Isaiah Lewis 36 6-13 1-3 4-4 3 1 2 0 3 17 7 +11.9
Mwani Wilkinson 32 2-7 1-5 4-4 3 0 0 1 1 9 5 +8.8
Tuongthach Gatkek 31 4-6 0-0 3-5 7 2 2 0 2 11 14 +8.6
Ante Beljan 29 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 5 2 0 4 2 6 +11.8
Caleb Pennyfeather 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 6 5 +0.7
Kristiyan Popov 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 0 4 -2.1
Christian Hughes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tedrick Washington 34 3-14 2-8 4-5 3 4 3 2 1 12 9 -
Brendan Terry 31 4-8 0-0 4-5 5 0 2 1 2 12 10 -13.5
Rob Martin 29 6-13 2-6 5-6 3 4 2 0 1 19 14 -8.5
Braxton Stacker 27 2-7 0-2 4-6 7 3 2 1 1 8 13 -6.5
BJ Ward 26 2-6 2-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 6 2 -9.4
Troy Cole Jr. 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
Marqueas Bell 19 3-7 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 10 7 -0.8
David Idada 10 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -5.9
Elliot Lowndes 5 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 +3.0

* = starter