Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.3% | 30.7% | -4.5 | ✓ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -20 (52-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nkrumah | 30 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +17.6 |
| Brandon Weston | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 14 | +19.1 |
| Justus Jackson | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 4 | +18.3 |
| Ronald Jessamy | 23 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 19 | +4.8 |
| Josh Ogundele | 21 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +18.6 |
| Carlous Williams | 17 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Travis Harper II | 16 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | +15.9 |
| Antoine Lorick III | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +5.8 |
| Knute Wood | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -3.2 |
| Blake Fleming | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.0 |
| JC Brooks | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Louis Daoust | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maddux Bodenhamer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Smith | 37 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Julius Rollins | 33 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -19.4 |
| Marko Maletic | 32 | 4-14 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -22.4 |
| Ryan Myers | 28 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | -24.6 |
| Kayden Carter | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -0.8 |
| T. Sant | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Caleb Thompson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3.2 |
| Rodrick Payne | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -12.6 |
| Massal Diouf | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Trey Deveaux | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +3.0 |
* = starter