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2025-01-09

Model Predictions

Model UT Martin Skyhawks Western Illinois Leathernecks Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 57.1% 42.9% - ✓
Margin 59.3% 40.7% -2.1 ✓ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.6% 42.4% - ✓
Efficiency 54.2% 45.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 67.0% 33.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 66.8% 33.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.1% 47.9% - ✓

Actual: Western Illinois Leathernecks -2 (83-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tarence Guinyard 39 11-21 6-13 3-4 2 3 4 0 3 31 16 +1.1
Vladimer Salaridze 33 5-9 0-2 7-8 10 3 4 0 8 17 17 +5.4
Filip Radaković 29 1-4 0-1 4-4 5 1 0 0 0 6 8 +12.7
Carlos Cortijo 29 2-6 1-1 1-2 2 4 0 0 1 6 5 +7.2
M. Žužić 28 5-7 5-7 1-2 3 0 0 2 1 16 13 -4.9
Afan Trnka 20 1-6 0-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 4 0 -4.0
AJ Hopkins 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 3 0 4 0 0 0 4 +6.0
Andrija Bukumirović 16 0-1 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 0 2 1 5 -5.8
Josué Grullon 5 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -4.8
Lamine Niang 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.9
Stefano Faloppa 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -1.9

Western Illinois Leathernecks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Rollins 44 5-11 1-5 3-5 6 3 2 1 5 14 10 -2.0
Ryan Myers 43 7-19 4-12 1-2 4 1 1 0 2 19 4 +1.0
Sean Smith 42 8-13 1-3 0-0 7 4 2 0 1 17 16 -
Marko Maletic 33 4-7 1-4 7-9 4 0 4 0 3 16 14 +3.0
Caleb Thompson 22 1-1 0-0 7-8 2 0 3 0 0 9 13 +2.0
Rodrick Payne 20 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 0 2 0 2 6 7 +0.9
Kayden Carter 16 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 3 -5.0
Trey Deveaux 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -8.1

* = starter