Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✗ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans -6 (53-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerone Morton | 40 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 13 | +7.2 |
| Steven Clay | 36 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +7.2 |
| Tyler Brelsford | 30 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Kenny White Jr. | 28 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +9.1 |
| Dieonte Miles | 27 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 23 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -3.5 |
| George Marshall | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4.2 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +4.3 |
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson | 38 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | -6.7 |
| Ante Beljan | 36 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | -7.2 |
| Isaiah Lewis | 34 | 7-15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Mwani Wilkinson | 32 | 5-18 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -6.5 |
| Kristiyan Popov | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -7.3 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -0.7 |
| Christian Hughes | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nikola Milosevic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter