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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans UT Martin Skyhawks Spread Result
Elo 52.2% 47.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% - ✓
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 ✓ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Efficiency 55.3% 44.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 67.8% 32.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 67.7% 32.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.5% 47.5% - ✓

Actual: UT Martin Skyhawks -1 (56-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Johnathan Lawson 39 4-12 3-7 3-3 6 0 2 0 3 14 7 -3.0
Tuongthach Gatkek 38 3-5 0-0 3-5 10 5 4 2 4 9 21 -1.8
Mwani Wilkinson 38 3-12 1-8 0-0 7 1 0 2 2 7 3 -1.1
Isaiah Lewis 32 3-10 0-5 0-0 6 6 0 1 2 6 7 -4.9
Travonne Jackson 26 4-7 2-4 2-2 1 0 0 1 0 12 7 +14.3
Ante Beljan 22 2-4 0-0 3-3 6 3 1 1 3 7 11 -14.5
Caleb Pennyfeather 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 3 +3.7
Kristiyan Popov 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UT Martin Skyhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Žužić 31 1-8 1-8 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 7 3 +1.1
Tarence Guinyard 30 1-6 0-1 5-6 3 2 1 0 3 7 4 -3.1
Josué Grullon 26 7-19 3-11 3-6 5 1 0 1 1 20 7 -1.9
Filip Radaković 26 2-3 2-2 2-2 7 0 1 0 1 8 12 +9.1
Vladimer Salaridze 25 0-4 0-3 2-3 8 2 2 0 2 2 8 +1.4
Andrija Bukumirović 19 3-4 1-1 1-4 4 0 0 1 0 8 9 -7.8
Afan Trnka 19 1-6 0-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 3 2 -5 +12.0
Stefano Faloppa 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 5 +0.3
AJ Hopkins 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 2 -0.6
Lamine Niang 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -0.8
Carlos Cortijo 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1.9

* = starter