Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.0% | 38.0% | -2.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +6 (74-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis Harper II | 40 | 8-12 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 18 | -5.5 |
| Brandon Weston | 33 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Aaron Nkrumah | 31 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -5.6 |
| Carlous Williams | 28 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | -0.7 |
| JC Brooks | 25 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -2.4 |
| Knute Wood | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Josh Ogundele | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Louis Daoust | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
| Justus Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenny White Jr. | 36 | 10-18 | 1-2 | 4-8 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 27 | +5.7 |
| Jerone Morton | 27 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Tyler Brelsford | 26 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Dieonte Miles | 26 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Steven Clay | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -0.0 |
| Kade Ruegsegger | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.8 |
| Jalen Breazeale | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +5.8 |
| George Marshall | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Khouri Carvey | 8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -1.1 |
| Trent Scott | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.2 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.9 |
* = starter