Model Predictions
| Model | UT Martin Skyhawks | Morehead State Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.3% | 48.7% | -0.3 | ✗ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Morehead State Eagles +1 (70-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Martin Skyhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Žužić | 41 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +3.2 |
| Filip RadakoviÄ | 38 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +2.2 |
| Vladimer Salaridze | 37 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Tarence Guinyard | 37 | 4-14 | 1-2 | 8-14 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | +5.1 |
| Afan Trnka | 31 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Josué Grullon | 15 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Andrija BukumiroviÄ | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Lamine Niang | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| AJ Hopkins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Carlos Cortijo | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +2.0 |
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kade Ruegsegger | 33 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +0.4 |
| Tyler Brelsford | 32 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Kenny White Jr. | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +1.5 |
| Jerone Morton | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | -4.7 |
| Anouar Mellouk | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 10 | +1.5 |
| George Marshall | 23 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +13.8 |
| Jalen Breazeale | 22 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -3.1 |
| Steven Clay | 14 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +0.9 |
| Khouri Carvey | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -7.1 |
| Trent Scott | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.0 |
* = starter