Model Predictions
| Model | Liberty Flames | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.4% | 41.6% | -1.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny | 37 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +12.6 |
| Zach Cleveland | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 19 | +16.6 |
| Owen Aquino | 32 | 5-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | +7.8 |
| Colin Porter | 30 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | +9.8 |
| Taelon Peter | 28 | 11-14 | 3-6 | 8-8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 28 | +13.3 |
| Jayvon Maughmer | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Zander Yates | 11 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Gabriel McKay | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Brett Decker Jr. | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Essam Mostafa | 35 | 12-18 | 2-2 | 4-9 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 31 | -8.9 |
| Jestin Porter | 34 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -6.6 |
| Camryn Weston | 32 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 10 | -8.0 |
| Kamari Lands | 25 | 6-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | -1 | -8.6 |
| Justin Bufford | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -2.4 |
| Jlynn Counter | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -5.9 |
| Tre Green | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8.8 |
| Torey Alston | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Chris Loofe | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.8 |
* = starter