Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | UTEP Miners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTEP Miners -1 (75-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camryn Weston | 37 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | +3.1 |
| Essam Mostafa | 35 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 28 | +14.3 |
| Jestin Porter | 30 | 3-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -2.4 |
| Jlynn Counter | 29 | 4-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Kamari Lands | 26 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +14.7 |
| Torey Alston | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -6.9 |
| Tre Green | 19 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +6.3 |
| Justin Bufford | 19 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -11.7 |
| Chris Loofe | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.9 |
UTEP Miners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey Camper Jr. | 38 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -5.1 |
| David Terrell Jr. | 37 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -6.4 |
| Otis Frazier III | 35 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 5-9 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | -3.5 |
| Kevin Kalu | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 24 | -3.6 |
| Ahamad Bynum | 29 | 6-14 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -4.4 |
| Devon Barnes | 19 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +10.0 |
| Elijah Jones | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Derick Hamilton | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +3.8 |
| Baylor Hebb | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -4.0 |
| KJ Thomas | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +6.1 |
* = starter