Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | New Mexico State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico State Aggies -5 (66-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Alston | 31 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -1.8 |
| Camryn Weston | 31 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 10-12 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | -3.7 |
| Essam Mostafa | 28 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 20 | -4.9 |
| Justin Bufford | 27 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 15 | -5.0 |
| Jestin Porter | 25 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4 | +2.1 |
| Jlynn Counter | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Tre Green | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | -1.8 |
| Chris Loofe | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Kamari Lands | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawdie Jackson | 33 | 1-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -0.0 |
| Christian Cook | 33 | 10-21 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 11 | - |
| Peter Filipovity | 20 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | +1.0 |
| Nate Tshimanga | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.0 |
| Emmanuel Tshimanga | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Robert Carpenter | 18 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.8 |
| Dionte Bostick | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Jaden Harris | 16 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -3 | -0.2 |
| Gabe Pickens | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.8 |
| Carl Cherenfant | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
* = starter