Model Predictions
| Model | Sam Houston Bearkats | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.3% | 83.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.5% | 78.5% | +7.1 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +4 (74-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson | 37 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | -1.2 |
| Marcus Boykin | 32 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -5.9 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Cameron Huefner | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +1.7 |
| Josiah Hammons | 25 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -4.0 |
| Erik Taylor | 20 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Brennen Burns | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4.0 |
| Jaxson Ford | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.9 |
| Cheikh Ndiaye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jestin Porter | 32 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | +9.1 |
| Tre Green | 29 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | +2.1 |
| Jlynn Counter | 28 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 10 | +3.0 |
| Camryn Weston | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Essam Mostafa | 22 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | -2.9 |
| Torey Alston | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3.1 |
| Chris Loofe | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9 | +11.3 |
| Justin Bufford | 16 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +1.1 |
| Jacob Johnson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.1 |
| Kamari Lands | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter