Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 31.6% | 68.4% | +4.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4 (57-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Carpenter | 31 | 6-12 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 13 | +1.7 |
| Peter Filipovity | 29 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +2.8 |
| Dionte Bostick | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Christian Cook | 28 | 1-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | - |
| Zawdie Jackson | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +2.7 |
| Gabe Pickens | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
| Emmanuel Tshimanga | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Jaden Harris | 12 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +6.5 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +0.9 |
| Nate Tshimanga | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jestin Porter | 38 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Chris Loofe | 35 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | -4.4 |
| Jlynn Counter | 30 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2.6 |
| Torey Alston | 27 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Camryn Weston | 23 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 6 | -1.5 |
| Justin Bufford | 17 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | -6.9 |
| Tre Green | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.9 |
| Alec Oglesby | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +3.2 |
| Christian Fussell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter