Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.8% | 58.2% | +1.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jestin Porter | 37 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Justin Bufford | 37 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -7.9 |
| Jlynn Counter | 33 | 6-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | -5.1 |
| Camryn Weston | 30 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | -0.9 |
| Essam Mostafa | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -6.7 |
| Tre Green | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Chris Loofe | 15 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | -0.3 |
| Torey Alston | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.1 |
| Jacob Johnson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Ree | 35 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +6.4 |
| Daniel Batcho | 31 | 9-13 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 25 | 23 | +3.0 |
| Sean Newman Jr. | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 15 | +3.2 |
| Kaden Cooper | 27 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 3-8 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | +8.5 |
| Amaree Abram | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +6.9 |
| Al Green | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -5.4 |
| AJ Bates | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +8.7 |
| Sean Elkinton | 8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | +4.2 |
| Jordan Crawford | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.3 |
* = starter