Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats -2 (75-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jlynn Counter | 37 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +4.3 |
| Jestin Porter | 36 | 10-16 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 16 | +2.2 |
| Camryn Weston | 32 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -2.3 |
| Jacob Johnson | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | +0.0 |
| Essam Mostafa | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 13 | -11.6 |
| Chris Loofe | 14 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | +15.3 |
| Justin Bufford | 13 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Tre Green | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Torey Alston | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.0 |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson | 38 | 7-16 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 9 | -0.2 |
| Cameron Huefner | 34 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Marcus Boykin | 33 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 24 | +8.0 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +1.0 |
| Josiah Hammons | 21 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Brennen Burns | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -11.1 |
| Erik Taylor | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -2.9 |
| Cheikh Ndiaye | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jaxson Ford | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.9 |
* = starter