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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico State Aggies Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.8% 79.2% - โœ“
Margin 16.7% 83.3% +8.8 โœ“ (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 19.0% 81.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.8% 70.2% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Cook 39 7-19 3-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 17 -1 -
Peter Filipovity 35 4-11 0-2 4-6 12 0 1 0 3 12 11 +3.9
Zawdie Jackson 35 2-6 1-2 7-8 1 3 2 0 0 12 12 +1.7
Dionte Bostick 34 2-8 0-3 1-2 5 3 0 0 4 5 1 +1.9
Emmanuel Tshimanga 20 4-4 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 8 11 +3.8
Robert Carpenter 17 0-7 0-5 0-0 6 1 2 2 0 0 4 -2.0
Jaden Harris 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 4 2 +1.7
Nate Tshimanga 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -2.0
Jae'Coby Osborne 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kaden Metheny 36 3-9 0-4 1-2 6 1 2 0 3 7 4 -1.7
Colin Porter 36 4-10 1-3 5-6 2 5 1 0 2 14 10 -1.7
Zach Cleveland 33 5-11 0-0 1-2 5 3 0 1 1 11 8 -1.7
Jayvon Maughmer 26 3-5 0-2 2-4 4 1 1 1 1 8 9 -1.6
Owen Aquino 25 3-6 0-0 5-8 4 0 1 2 1 11 11 -3.7
Taelon Peter 24 4-6 0-1 3-4 7 0 0 0 0 11 12 +2.0
Zander Yates 11 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 +0.0
Gabriel McKay 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Brett Decker Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter