Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | +3.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +17 (81-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Pierre Jr. | 37 | 8-22 | 3-10 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 12 | -16.9 |
| Marcellus Brigham Jr. | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -19.6 |
| Michael Houge | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 11 | -16.9 |
| Koree Cotton | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -18.9 |
| Quel'Ron House | 25 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -11.8 |
| Iaroslav Niagu | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Mason Nicholson | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +4.0 |
| Jao Ituka | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -8.0 |
| Aidan Driggers | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jestin Porter | 39 | 9-22 | 6-14 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 15 | +14.9 |
| Essam Mostafa | 34 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +21.6 |
| Torey Alston | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | +28.1 |
| Jlynn Counter | 32 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 17 | +23.9 |
| Justin Bufford | 31 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +16.5 |
| Camryn Weston | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -14.9 |
| Tre Green | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Chris Loofe | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -4.0 |
* = starter