Model Predictions
| Model | Liberty Flames | Sam Houston Bearkats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sam Houston Bearkats -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayvon Maughmer | 37 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +8.3 |
| Colin Porter | 35 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | +11.3 |
| Zach Cleveland | 32 | 3-11 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +9.6 |
| Kaden Metheny | 32 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +11.6 |
| Owen Aquino | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | +5.7 |
| Taelon Peter | 22 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | -1.0 |
| Gabriel McKay | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +2.8 |
| Zander Yates | 3 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | -3.2 |
| Will Gibson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Kai Yu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sam Houston Bearkats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson | 37 | 10-19 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | -7.3 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 33 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | -7.3 |
| Dorian Finister | 33 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Marcus Boykin | 30 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Cameron Huefner | 22 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Brennen Burns | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -15.6 |
| Josiah Hammons | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.9 |
| Jaxson Ford | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +1.4 |
| Erik Taylor | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +2.3 |
* = starter