Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Liberty Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.8% | 79.2% | +7.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Liberty Flames +10 (73-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jlynn Counter | 37 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -10.1 |
| Justin Bufford | 36 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -9.4 |
| Essam Mostafa | 33 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | +2.4 |
| Jestin Porter | 29 | 0-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | -14.0 |
| Camryn Weston | 26 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | -6.0 |
| Torey Alston | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +5.2 |
| Chris Loofe | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -1.9 |
| Jacob Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.9 |
| Tre Green | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -12.0 |
Liberty Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Metheny | 37 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 8 | +8.1 |
| Colin Porter | 36 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +10.1 |
| Owen Aquino | 35 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +18.3 |
| Jayvon Maughmer | 35 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +9.1 |
| Zach Cleveland | 31 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | +8.2 |
| Taelon Peter | 16 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -1.8 |
| Gabriel McKay | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Zander Yates | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter