Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.8% | 54.2% | +0.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aerial Powers | 24 | 2-12 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Tina Charles | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Nia Coffey | 18 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Naz Hillmon | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Destanni Henderson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| Cheyenne Parker-Tyus | 16 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Rhyne Howard | 16 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Haley Jones | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Laeticia Amihere | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Allisha Gray | 15 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Cave | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Clark | 32 | 4-12 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 9 | - |
| NaLyssa Smith | 30 | 9-16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Grace Berger | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 13 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter