Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.7% | 35.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.4% | 20.6% | -7.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -6 (77-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 23 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Bridget Carleton | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Napheesa Collier | 21 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Alissa Pili | 18 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| C. Williams | 18 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Natisha Hiedeman | 15 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Q. Lockett | 14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Taylor | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Taylor Soule | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Epoupa | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Diamond Miller | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kayla McBride | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kayana Traylor | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Jefferson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins | 24 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Julie Vanloo | 22 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Samuelson | 21 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 19 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Dolson | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 18 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Brittney Sykes | 16 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| DiDi Richards | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Shakira Austin | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Emily Engstler | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| H. Scott-Grayson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| E. Cunane | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Brown-Turner | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter