Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 70.2% | 29.8% | -4.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.2% | 35.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Wings +3 (79-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NaLyssa Smith | 33 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 10-13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Aliyah Boston | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Caitlin Clark | 28 | 6-15 | 5-13 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 8 | - |
| E. Wheeler | 25 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Lexie Hull | 23 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Grace Berger | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Celeste Taylor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Kristy Wallace | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Temi Fagbenle | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Victaria Saxton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Maya Caldwell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Correa | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arike Ogunbowale | 36 | 9-24 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 0 | - |
| Jaelyn Brown | 30 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Natasha Howard | 25 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Sevgi Uzun | 19 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Teaira McCowan | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| K. Brown | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Maddy Siegrist | 16 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jacy Sheldon | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Veronica Burton | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Emma Cannon | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Stephanie Soares | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Crystal Dangerfield | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Pardee | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter