Model Predictions
| Model | Cincinnati Bearcats | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.3% | 25.7% | -5.8 | ✗ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +4 (85-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jizzle James * | 39 | 10-23 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 6 | -2.7 |
| Simas Lukosius * | 36 | 8-17 | 6-14 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 13 | +3.7 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 12 | -2.7 |
| John Newman III * | 34 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +9.0 |
| Aziz Bandaogo * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +1.9 |
| Jamille Reynolds | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| Josh Reed | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7.3 |
| Ody Oguama | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.7 |
| C.J. Anthony | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Kent * | 38 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | +2.7 |
| Ryan Conwell * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | +3.0 |
| Robbie Avila * | 38 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | +5.2 |
| Julian Larry * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | +8.4 |
| Isaiah Swope * | 34 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -2.3 |
| X. Bledson | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -3.4 |
| J. Wolfe | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
| Derek Vorst | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -1.2 |
* = starter