Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | -0.6 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.9% | 57.1% | +1.6 | ✗ (6.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls -5 (65-70). Ratings: 2023-24 season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bairstow * | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Zeb Jackson * | 30 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Max Shulga * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Christian Fermin * | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Kuany Kuany * | 14 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Joe Bamisile | 25 | 2-10 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Tobi Lawal | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Michael Belle | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Alphonzo Billups III | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jason Nelson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4706557 * | 37 | 10-16 | 1-5 | 7-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Kasean Pryor * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Stroud * | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Kobe Knox * | 22 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jose Placer * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jayden Reid | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Selton Miguel | 21 | 2-12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -4 | - |
| Corey Walker Jr. | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Sam Hines Jr. | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter