Model Predictions
| Model | SMU Mustangs | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.1% | 33.9% | -3.7 | ✗ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +9 (101-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Harris * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | -7.3 |
| Zhuric Phelps * | 35 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 6-10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 15 | -1.2 |
| Jalen Smith * | 33 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Ja'Heim Hudson * | 22 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | +3.3 |
| Tyreek Smith * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +1.1 |
| B.J. Edwards | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +10.6 |
| Emory Lanier | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Keon Ambrose-Hylton | 12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -6.2 |
| Samuell Williamson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Ricardo Wright | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.2 |
| Mo Njie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.2 |
| Jackson Young | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Kent * | 39 | 11-12 | 2-2 | 11-12 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 35 | 35 | +2.9 |
| Ryan Conwell * | 38 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 22 | +0.3 |
| Julian Larry * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Robbie Avila * | 32 | 2-11 | 0-4 | 9-9 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | +2.4 |
| Isaiah Swope * | 22 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -6.6 |
| X. Bledson | 28 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +15.5 |
| J. Wolfe | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.4 |
| Masen Miller | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
| Derek Vorst | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5.2 |
* = starter