Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Chicago State Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.4% | 29.6% | -4.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Chicago State Cougars -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Fields * | 40 | 13-20 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 32 | 18 | +3.4 |
| Jasper Floyd * | 40 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | +2.9 |
| Matt Curtis * | 32 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | +9.1 |
| Louis Bleechmore * | 30 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.5 |
| Peyton Smith | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6.3 |
| A. Davis Jr. | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -6.3 |
| B. Seck | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2.1 |
| J. Brown | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
Chicago State Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jahsean Corbett * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| W. Cardet Jr. * | 37 | 10-17 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Neal Jr. * | 32 | 7-17 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 9 | -0.1 |
| Noble Crawford * | 31 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Jernigan * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Deshawn Jean-Charles | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +0.1 |
| Tristan Arneaud | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3.8 |
| Greg Spate | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.8 |
* = starter