Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.6% | 49.4% | -0.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies -13 (61-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Fields * | 38 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +13.0 |
| Taryn Todd * | 37 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Freddy Hicks * | 34 | 4-17 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 2 | +8.6 |
| Derrian Ford * | 32 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 10 | +15.3 |
| Izaiyah Nelson * | 26 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 20 | +15.2 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 15 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +5.2 |
| Avery Felts | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +6.2 |
| Julian Lual | 5 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laolu Oke * | 34 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 19 | -9.8 |
| Aanen Moody * | 33 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -17.2 |
| Brandon Whitney * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5.1 |
| Josh Vazquez * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | -12.8 |
| Dischon Thomas * | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -12.3 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Chase Henderson | 16 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -7.1 |
| Jaxon Nap | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| Blake Jones | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +0.9 |
* = starter