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2024-04-06

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.4% 78.6% - โœ“
Margin 18.4% 81.6% +8.2 โœ“ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 16.7% 83.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.7% 68.3% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +14 (86-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mark Sears * 40 9-14 3-6 3-4 5 3 0 1 1 24 18 -
Aaron Estrada * 37 5-11 3-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 13 7 -
Grant Nelson * 30 7-16 1-4 4-4 15 0 0 1 0 19 19 -
Rylan Griffen * 26 3-8 2-5 0-1 0 0 0 1 3 8 -2 -
Nick Pringle * 16 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 0 -
Latrell Wrightsell Jr. 31 2-5 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 6 5 -
Jarin Stevenson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
Sam Walters 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mouhamed Dioubate 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cam Spencer * 36 5-11 3-5 1-2 8 4 2 0 0 14 17 -
Tristen Newton * 35 4-11 3-9 1-2 3 9 0 0 3 12 10 -
Alex Karaban * 30 4-6 2-4 4-4 8 2 0 2 0 14 20 -
Stephon Castle * 30 7-13 2-6 5-6 5 2 1 0 1 21 15 -
Donovan Clingan * 29 8-14 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 4 0 18 14 -
Hassan Diarra 23 0-4 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 0 4 -
Samson Johnson 10 3-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 2 0 7 7 -
Jaylin Stewart 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jayden Ross 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Andrew Hurley 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Solomon Ball 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Apostolos Roumoglou 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter